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March 8th, 2018 | 2:00 – 6:00 pm |20 Canada Square, London, UK


The ET Risk consortium is pleased to invite you to the London workshop “Unveiling the ET risk toolbox: scenarios, data and models for risk assessment”.

Join us and the 2° Investing Initiative  along with Kepler Cheuvreux, Carbon Tracker Initiative, the Oxford Smith School Sustainable Finance ProgrammeS&P GlobalS&P Dow Jones Indices, and The CO-Firm to discuss technical solutions around the use of scenarios in financial analysis, transition risk and asset-level data, and transition risk models.

The speakers will present recent developments on transition scenarios, asset level data and risk assessment models and provide insights on the integration of climate-related risks in company and valuation models. You are invited to join one of the breakout groups available later in the afternoon, allowing for a dive in one of these topics (see agenda details below).

Participation is limited to 50 attendees. We encourage you to register as soon as possible to reserve your place.The meeting will be held under Chatham House rules.




2:00 – 2:15 pm         Registration/Coffee

2:15 – 2:35 pm         The transition risk toolbox: scenarios, data and models  

Jakob Thomä, Director, 2° Investing Initiative

2:35 – 2:55  pm       Asset-level data 

 Ben Caldecott, Director of Oxford Sustainable Finance Programme, University of Oxford Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment.

2:55 – 3:15 pm       Company-level climate risk modelling and TCFD reporting

Nicole Rottmer; CEO, The CO Firm

3:15 – 3:35 pm       Scenario analysis in equity valuation models 

Samuel Mary, Senior Sustainability Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

3:35 – 3:55 pm    At the intersection of credit risk and energy transition risk Asset-level data

Lauren Smart, Managing Director, Global Head of Financial Institutions Business at Trucost, part of S&P Dow Jones Indices.

3:35 – 3:55 pm    Fossil fuel supply scenario analysis

Andrew Grant, Senior Analyst, Carbon Tracker Initiative

4:15 – 4:30 pm    Coffee Break
4:30 – 5:30 pm      Breakout groups

– Transition scenarios: needs and steps moving forward
– Asset-level data
– Risk models for the cement and steel sector

5:30 – 5:50 pm  ET Risk in the context of the HLEG recommendations on ESAS

Morgane Nicol, Mission lead – Financial regulation, Private Finance and Climate, I4CE


5:50 – 6:00 pm  Closing remarks 


Morgane NICOL

Program Director - Territories

Morgane ensures the development, monitoring and dissemination of the Institute’s activities for territorial actors, and in particular local authorities. Morgane was until June 2018 Climate Finance project manager in the think tank.

Prior to joining I4CE, Morgane has worked as Project Manager Energy and Climate for AFD  (Agence Française du Développement) in Istanbul and as a Private Equity investment officer at Proparco in Paris. She then worked for Carbone 4, a consulting firm specialized in carbon strategy, as a senior consultant and manager.

Morgane holds a Master in Management and an MSc in Corporate Finance from Edhec Business School.