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Help investors assess risks related to energy transition

7 April 2016 - Foreword of the week
Energy Transition Risk project launched in Paris

logo partenaireIn the wake of the Paris Agreement on Climate Change at COP21 and the launch of a task force on climate-related financial disclosure by the G20’s Financial Stability Board, a consortium of think-tanks, researchers and financial sector companies have gathered their forces to help investors assess these risks.

The Energy Transition Risk (ET Risk) project has been launched by a consortium of organisations in Paris following a €2.2m (approx.) grant from the European Commission’s Horizon 2020 programme.

The European consortium aims to mobilize capital for sustainable energy investment by developing an energy transition assessment framework which would bring transparency to the materiality of the energy transition risks and opportunities and help investors with data, research and analytics to assess the impact on bond and equity portfolios.

The consortium includes 2° Investing Initiative (project coordinator), Carbon Tracker Initiative, The CO-Firm, I4CE (Institute for Climate Economics), Kepler Cheuvreux, McGraw Hill Financial (MHFI), and the University of Oxford’s Sustainable Finance Programme.

Focusing on how an assessment of energy transition risk can improve the “financeability” and attractiveness of sustainable energy and energy efficient investment, the ET Risk project will specifically develop:

•Standardized macroeconomic scenarios associated with changes in policies, technology deployment, and climate litigation for a range of industries and how their trajectory could impact risk variables that inform financial analysis
•A physical assets database for several industries, including a mapping of ‘committed greenhouse gas emissions’ associated with each asset and the extent to which sustainable energy investments can ‘unlock’ these future emissions
•A ‘stress test’ framework to assess the impact on company valuations and credit risk
•Financial performance benchmarks through the creation of indices

On the same day that the ET Risk research consortium was launched in Paris, the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) published a report calling for “carbon stress tests” to assess the potential materiality of energy transition risks. The ESRB makes several recommendations, including the development of “relevant macroeconomic scenarios against which to stress test firms” and “dedicated carbon stress tests” in the medium term. They also call for further disclosure from companies to inform risk analysis.

To learn more
  • 01/23/2026 Foreword of the week
    Financing carbon farming practices: lessons learnt in France can reinforce the EU level initiatives

    In a challenging economic and political context, especially for the agriculture sector, some incentive schemes can still help bring stakeholders together in climate transition and resilience initiatives. This is the case with carbon certification schemes, which both ensure the credibility of the climate impact of the actions implemented and provide remuneration for farmers and foresters for changes in practices. Some of these measures, such as replacing mineral fertilisers (mostly imported) with organic fertilisers, also help to meet the sector’s needs for resilience and strategic independence, which are crucial in the current context.

  • 01/21/2026 Blog post
    On Carbon Removals and Carbon Farming the devil is in…the demand

    The implementation of carbon farming practices on European farms and in European forests is a lever for achieving carbon neutrality, but also for farm resilience, the adaptation of forest stands to climate change and for contributing to our strategic independence. Certifying and financing low-carbon practices is the objective of the CRCF (Carbon Removals and Carbon Farming) regulation, which will come into effect in 2026. Now seems the right time to draw lessons from six years of experience with a similar standard in France: the “Label Bas-Carbone” (Low Carbon Label – LBC). The results show that striking a balance between scientific rigour and accessibility for stakeholders has led to the development of a substantial range of projects. However, the real challenge is to build sufficient and appropriate demand to finance the projects. There is no miracle solution, but complementary financing channels may emerge. 

  • 01/16/2026 Blog post
    CBAM and fertilisers: ring-fencing budgets to help farmers reduce their use of mineral fertilisers

    The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) came into force on 1 January 2026. It is a carbon tax applied at the borders of the European Union to imports of certain industrial products covered by the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). Nitrogen-based mineral fertilisers are included in this initial list of products. To avoid an increase in costs for the farmers concerned, the level of the tax has been reduced for fertilisers, and they may even be temporarily excluded from the scope of the CBAM. Yet, for the climate, but also for France’s strategic independence and food sovereignty, the CBAM will ultimately have to be fully applied to mineral fertilisers. To limit or even avoid an increase in farmers’ fertiliser expenditure, we need public policies – some of which are currently under threat. Ring-fencing budgets for these policies would be a way to support farmers’ incomes and the food sovereignty of both the European Union and France, while reducing the carbon footprint of our food system. 

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